It's the start of the year .. so it can be difficult to try and understand the story the numbers are telling today. Certainly this is always the slowest time of the year for us.

However I think there are several trends we can identify that will be important to both sellers and buyers.

The graph below is the same information I've been providing every month - I just reworked the size for the next year. I'm not sure if I'm happy with the compression .... if you'd like one printed on a legal sized page just let me know and I'll get one to you.

2008 was not a good year ... no surprise there. The market did not track as a typical year would. We didn't get the push in May, June and July we would have expected, then we seemed to hold our own for the fall.

But by looking back ~ we see that the sales in January has been falling for several years, after leveling off in 2006 and 2007. The sales in 2009 are off almost 30% from the January sales in 2007. At the same time January inventory for the same period is up almost 20%.

Looking back to 2006

January sales are DOWN 30%

January Inventory is UP over 30%

Another View .. scroll down below the first graph.


monthly stats graph

Looking At The Big Picture ...... Year to Year Is A Bit More Informative.

Below you'll see that since the end of 2004 our total years sales have been decreasing. While at the same time the number of homes being offered for sale has been increasing .

The results are opposite to each other ~ moving apart ~

In 2008 for every 3 homes listed for sale 2 didn't sell ...

yearly sales stats

The next few months will be critical to our future market. The economy will need to find some balance

before we can reasonably predict trends in real estate.

As always .. please feel free to forward this to anyone you think may be interested and please let me know how I can help.

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Dave Chomitz CRS broker

Royal LePage ProAlliance Realty, brokerage
1111Elgin St, Cobourg K9A 3J7

Direct Line (in Canada) 1-800-267-1166

Office 905-372-0114